Auckland FC ضد Newcastle Jets — A-League

**Auckland FC 1-3 Newcastle Jets**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 83% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by build-up (37%) and attack (31%). Auckland FC dominated the flanks, making 17 accurate crosses to Newcastle Jets' 2, a +15 gap at the 100th percentile of gaps. Conversely, Newcastle Jets were much more active in clearing the ball, recording 61 clearances to Auckland FC's 9, a +52 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. These contrasting styles defined a game where one side pushed wide while the other was forced to defend deep under pressure.

**How it played out:** Auckland FC exerted significant territorial control, completing 358 passes in the opponent's half compared to Newcastle Jets' 92, a +266 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. While few accurate long balls were recorded in the match (44 in total, 5th percentile of joint volume), Auckland FC was clearly ahead with 32 to Newcastle Jets' 12, a +20 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. Newcastle Jets were more active in reading the game, recording 9 interceptions to Auckland FC's 2, a +7 gap at the 89th percentile of gaps, in a match with few interceptions overall (11 in total, 3rd percentile of joint volume). The game remained physical in the air, with 49 aerial duels won overall (90th percentile of joint volume), and Auckland FC winning 26 to Newcastle Jets' 23, a +3 gap at the 70th percentile of gaps. In the final third, Auckland FC took 10 shots from distance to Newcastle Jets' 2, a +8 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. Both sides were active in the box, creating 9 big chances in total (99th percentile of joint volume), with Auckland FC making 5 to Newcastle Jets' 4, a +1 gap at the 69th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Auckland FC win 14%, draw 36%, and Newcastle Jets win 50%. The performances pointed to a Newcastle Jets win and that is what happened, supported by Auckland FC's 8 shots on target to Newcastle Jets' 4.