Pisa ضد Como — Serie A

**Pisa 0-3 Como**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 55% of matches, with the atypicality primarily rooted in the build-up phase. Como established a massive territorial advantage, completing 305 passes in the opponent's half compared to Pisa's 79, a +226 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. While the overall volume of passes in their own half was low (289 in total, 11th percentile of joint volume), Como was clearly ahead with 221 to Pisa's 68, a +153 gap at the 95th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Pisa attempted to bypass the midfield through direct play, making 25 accurate long balls to Como's 14, a +11 gap at the 81st percentile of gaps, even though few accurate long balls were recorded in the match (39 in total, 6th percentile of joint volume). Como focused on sustained pressure near the goal, recording 5 corners to Pisa's 1, a +4 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps, and 5 accurate crosses to 1, a +4 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps, in a match with few accurate crosses overall (6 in total, 18th percentile of joint volume). Both sides were involved in a physical battle in the air, winning 44 aerial duels in total (83rd percentile of joint volume), with Pisa winning 26 to Como's 18, a +8 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps. Defensively, both teams were under constant pressure, recording 61 clearances in total (96th percentile of joint volume), with Pisa making 34 to Como's 27, a +7 gap at the 77th percentile of gaps. This pressure led to a high volume of tackles (37 in total, 80th percentile of joint volume), with Pisa making 20 to Como's 17, a +3 gap at the 72nd percentile of gaps. In the final third, both teams did a lot of shots inside the box (18 in total, 83rd percentile of joint volume), with Como making 10 to Pisa's 8, a +2 gap at the 71st percentile of gaps. This translated into a direct threat on goal, as both teams did a lot of shots on target (11 in total, 83rd percentile of joint volume), with Como making 7 to Pisa's 4, a +3 gap at the 83rd percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Pisa win 36%, draw 32%, and Como win 32%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 0-3 scoreline is not surprising given that Como had 7 shots on target to Pisa's 4.