**Fulham 2-1 Chelsea**
**What set this match apart:**
This match was more unusual than 87% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by build-up (38%), with significant contributions from attack (24%) and defending (24%). Chelsea generated a massive amount of pressure near the opponent's goal, recording 11 corners to Fulham's 2, a +9 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. Conversely, Fulham camped in the opponent's half, completing 268 passes there compared to Chelsea's 169, a +99 gap at the 79th percentile of gaps. Both sides were active in their own halves, completing 458 passes in total (94th percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them.
**How it played out:**
The game was a high-volume affair in the final third, with 20 shots inside the box (90th percentile of joint volume) and 11 shots on target for Chelsea to 5 for Fulham (88th percentile of joint volume). Chelsea were more successful at creating clear-cut scoring opportunities, recording 4 big chances to Fulham's 0, a gap at the 95th percentile of gaps. Defensively, both sides were under constant pressure, evidenced by 58 clearances in total (95th percentile of joint volume) and 11 blocked shots (96th percentile of joint volume). Fulham found success in physical duels, winning 19 aerial duels to Chelsea's 10, a +9 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps. Fulham also excelled in one-on-one situations, recording 12 successful dribbles to Chelsea's 7, a +5 gap at the 86th percentile of gaps.
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Fulham win 17%, draw 28%, and Chelsea win 55%. The performances pointed toward a Chelsea win, but the actual result had only a 17% probability. Despite Chelsea creating 4 big chances to Fulham's 0, the 2-1 scoreline was a significant outlier.
هذا التحليل مُولَّد بنموذج مطوَّر داخليًا وقد يحتوي على أخطاء · تجريبي
