Chivas ضد Pachuca — Liga MX

**Chivas 2-0 Pachuca**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (96% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking figures involve the build-up, where both teams completed a high volume of passes in their own half (459 in total, 94th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with Chivas making 51 more than Pachuca (255 to 204, 69th percentile of gaps). Defensively, the game was also characterized by a high volume of tackles (38 in total, 75th percentile of joint volume), with Pachuca making 10 more than Chivas (24 to 14, 92nd percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Chivas found more success in the final third, recording 12 shots inside the box compared to Pachuca's 5 (85th percentile of gaps) and creating 3 more big chances (3 to 0, 88th percentile of gaps). While both sides took a high volume of long-range attempts (11 in total, 79th percentile of joint volume), there was no real difference between them. Chivas also had a clear edge in attacking down the flanks, as they made 6 more accurate crosses than Pachuca (7 to 1, 91st percentile of gaps) in a match with few accurate crosses overall (8 in total, 22nd percentile of joint volume). Pachuca focused on winning the ball back by challenging, while Chivas was more successful in beating opponents one-on-one, making 4 more successful dribbles than Pachuca (8 to 4, 81st percentile of gaps). Territorial control was also a factor, with Chivas making 61 more passes in the opponent's half than Pachuca (201 to 140, 68th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Chivas win 44%, draw 41%, and Pachuca win 15%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. Chivas's 2-0 win is not surprising given they had 3 big chances to Pachuca's 0.