Dinamo Zagreb ضد FCSB — Europa League

**Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 FCSB**

**What set this match apart:** A very typical match: only small details set it apart (97% of matches were more unusual than this one). The primary distinction in the game was found in the attacking phase, which accounted for 33% of the unusualness. This was driven by a significant disparity in clear-cut scoring opportunities, as Dinamo Zagreb created 4 big chances to FCSB's 0, a gap at the 91st percentile of gaps. Conversely, the build-up and duels contributed 25% and 22% of the unusualness respectively, while defending accounted for the remaining 19%.

**How it played out:** Dinamo Zagreb was clearly ahead in getting into dangerous areas, recording 10 shots inside the box compared to just 3 from FCSB, a gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. While both sides were patient with their build-up from the back, completing 380 passes in their own halves (77th percentile of joint volume), they were much more active in the opponent's territory. The two teams combined for 320 passes in the attacking half (75th percentile of joint volume), with FCSB making 177 of those to Dinamo Zagreb's 143, a gap at the 69th percentile of gaps. FCSB also pushed the ball down the flanks, recording 5 accurate crosses to Dinamo Zagreb's 3, a moderate gap at the 73rd percentile of gaps. On the ground, FCSB won 40 duels to Dinamo Zagreb's 32, a gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps, while Dinamo Zagreb was more successful in one-on-one situations, winning 10 dribbles to FCSB's 7, a gap at the 75th percentile of gaps. Defensively, both sides were under pressure, evidenced by 51 clearances in total (89th percentile of joint volume), with Dinamo Zagreb making 27 to FCSB's 24. In a match with few blocked shots overall (23rd percentile of joint volume), FCSB was clearly ahead with 3 to Dinamo Zagreb's 0, a gap at the 76th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Dinamo Zagreb win (67%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are Dinamo Zagreb win 67%, draw 21%, and FCSB win 12%, with Dinamo Zagreb also leading in shots on target (7 to 3) and big chances (4 to 0).