Atletico de San Luis ضد Chivas — Liga MX

**Atletico de San Luis 2-3 Chivas**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 72% of matches were more unusual than this one. The most striking feature was the lack of physical confrontation, as there were only 16 tackles in the match (3rd percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between the sides. Furthermore, the game was notably devoid of ground duels, with only 45 won overall (2nd percentile of joint volume), even though Atletico de San Luis was clearly ahead with 25 to 20 (73rd percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Chivas were more active in the final third, recording 7 shots on target to Atletico de San Luis's 2 (93rd percentile of gaps). While there were few shots from distance in the match (5 in total, 8th percentile of joint volume), Chivas was clearly ahead with 4 to 1 (80th percentile of gaps). Both sides were active in the box, recording 17 shots inside the area (76th percentile of joint volume), with Chivas making 10 to Atletico de San Luis's 7 (76th percentile of gaps). Chivas also created more clear-cut opportunities, with 3 big chances to 2 (87th percentile of gaps). In contrast, Atletico de San Luis relied on a more patient build-up from the back, completing 249 passes in their own half to Chivas's 172 (78th percentile of gaps), and they were clearly ahead in direct play with 36 accurate long balls to 26 (79th percentile of gaps). While there were few accurate crosses in the match, Atletico de San Luis was clearly ahead with 6 to 1 (87th percentile of gaps). Defensively, Chivas were more active in reading the game, recording 14 interceptions to Atletico de San Luis's 3 (97th percentile of gaps) in a match with few interceptions overall (17 in total, 9th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Atletico de San Luis win 7%, draw 26%, and Chivas win 67%. The performances pointed to a Chivas win (67%), and that is what happened. This result was supported by Chivas's 7 shots on target compared to 2 for Atletico de San Luis.