Cagliari ضد Hellas Verona — Serie A

**Cagliari 4-0 Hellas Verona**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 75% of matches, with the unusualness primarily rooted in the build-up (56%). The most striking figure is the volume of patient play from the back: both teams completed 592 passes in their own half (98th percentile of joint volume), but Cagliari was significantly more active with 405 to Hellas Verona's 187 (99th percentile of gaps). Defending also contributed to the atypical nature of the game, with both sides recording 46 clearances (76th percentile of joint volume) and 8 blocked shots (88th percentile of joint volume).

**How it played out:** Cagliari found more success in the final third, creating 4 big chances to Hellas Verona's 0 (89th percentile of gaps) and recording 7 shots from distance to 3 (84th percentile of gaps). While the game saw very few accurate crosses (5 in total, 15th percentile of joint volume), Cagliari was clearly ahead with 4 to 1 (75th percentile of gaps). A similar pattern emerged with direct play, as there were few accurate long balls in the match (43 in total, 15th percentile of joint volume), but Cagliari was clearly ahead with 26 to 17 (76th percentile of gaps). The territorial control remained stagnant, with only 242 passes in the opponent's half between the two teams (25th percentile of joint volume). In the physical battle, Cagliari won more ground duels (33 to 25, 83rd percentile of gaps) and more clearances (29 to 17, 87th percentile of gaps). Furthermore, there were few successful dribbles in the match (9 in total, 10th percentile of joint volume), but Cagliari was clearly ahead with 7 to 2 (86th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Cagliari win 68%, draw 15%, and Hellas Verona win 17%. The performances pointed to a Cagliari win and that is what happened. This was reflected in the final tally, where Cagliari created 4 big chances to Hellas Verona's 0.