Comerciantes Unidos ضد Los Chankas — Peruvian Liga 1

**Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 Los Chankas**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 79% of matches were more unusual than this one. The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the build-up (36%) and duels (35%), with defending accounting for 26% of the atypicality. Despite the low volume of corners in the match (4 in total, 5th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), Comerciantes Unidos was clearly ahead with 4 to Los Chankas' 0, a gap at the 81st percentile. Similarly, while there were few accurate crosses in the match (9 in total, 23rd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), Comerciantes Unidos was clearly ahead with 8 to Los Chankas' 1, a gap at the 94th percentile.

**How it played out:** Comerciantes Unidos showed a preference for patient build-up from the back, making 146 passes in their own half compared to 105 for Los Chankas, a gap at the 65th percentile in a match where few passes in their own half were made overall (251 in total, 21st percentile). Both sides opted for direct play, completing 62 accurate long balls between them (71st percentile of joint volume), with Comerciantes Unidos making 37 to Los Chankas' 25, a gap at the 83rd percentile. On the defensive side, Comerciantes Unidos read the game well, making 14 interceptions to Los Chankas' 7, a gap at the 93rd percentile. Los Chankas, however, were forced to defend deep and get the ball away under pressure, recording 31 clearances to Comerciantes Unidos' 12, a gap at the 87th percentile. The physical battle was won by Comerciantes Unidos, who won 31 ground duels to Los Chankas' 17, a gap at the 95th percentile in a match where few ground duels won were recorded overall (48 in total, 2nd percentile).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Comerciantes Unidos win 30%, draw 39%, and Los Chankas win 31%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 1-1 draw reflects a wide open match where Comerciantes Unidos had 5 shots on target to Los Chankas' 3.