**Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Huddersfield Town**
**What set this match apart:**
This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (61% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily found in the build-up (34%), defending (26%), and attack (25%). Despite the low volume of shots on target in the match, Doncaster Rovers was clearly ahead with 2 to Huddersfield Town's 0, a gap at the 69th percentile of gaps. Conversely, there were few corners in the match, but Huddersfield Town was clearly ahead with 5 to Doncaster Rovers' 0, a gap at the 90th percentile of gaps.
**How it played out:**
Huddersfield Town found more ways into the box, recording 8 shots inside the area compared to Doncaster Rovers' 4, a gap at the 81st percentile of gaps. Both sides utilized the flanks effectively, completing 12 accurate crosses in total (86th percentile of joint volume), with Huddersfield Town making 8 to Doncaster Rovers' 4, a gap at the 87th percentile of gaps. Direct play was limited, as both teams recorded few accurate long balls (42 in total, 16th percentile of joint volume). On the defensive side, both teams were active in winning the ball back, recording 39 tackles in total (85th percentile of joint volume). Doncaster Rovers were more active in this area, making 22 tackles to Huddersfield Town's 17, a gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps. The game was also highly combative on the ground, with 83 ground duels won in total (85th percentile of joint volume), and Doncaster Rovers winning 46 to Huddersfield Town's 37, a gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. In the air, Huddersfield Town won 23 aerial duels to Doncaster Rovers' 16, a gap at the 87th percentile of gaps. Finally, both teams were under significant pressure, recording 55 clearances in total (88th percentile of joint volume), with Doncaster Rovers making 35 to Huddersfield Town's 20, a gap at the 91st percentile of gaps.
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Doncaster Rovers win 44%, draw 44%, and Huddersfield Town win 12%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 1-0 result is not surprising, as Doncaster Rovers had 2 shots on target while Huddersfield Town had 0.
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