CF America ضد Tigres — Liga MX

**CF America 1-4 Tigres**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 78% of matches were more unusual than this one. The primary distinction lies in the build-up, which accounted for 58% of the match's unusualness. CF America camped in the opponent's half, completing 268 passes there compared to just 89 for Tigres, a +179 gap at the 92nd percentile of gaps. Despite this territorial control, both sides were patient in their own halves, completing 401 passes between them (83rd percentile of joint volume) with no real difference in distribution.

**How it played out:** Tigres found more ways to bypass the midfield and pressure the box. They were clearly ahead in accurate long balls, completing 22 to CF America's 16 (73rd percentile of gaps), even though few accurate long balls were recorded in the match overall (8th percentile of joint volume). Tigres also saw more corners, with 5 to CF America's 2 (79th percentile of gaps), despite a low joint volume of 7 (27th percentile). CF America looked to exploit the flanks, making 4 accurate crosses to Tigres's 1 (75th percentile of gaps), though few accurate crosses were recorded in the match overall (15th percentile). In the defensive phase, CF America was clearly ahead in interceptions, recording 9 to Tigres's 5 (82nd percentile of gaps), while both sides were conservative in their tackling with only 19 total (8th percentile of joint volume). CF America also won more dribbles, with 6 to Tigres's 3 (75th percentile of gaps), in a game where few successful dribbles occurred overall (18th percentile). Both sides were equally active in the final third, recording 11 shots on target (88th percentile of joint volume) and 11 shots from distance (79th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are CF America win 26%, draw 40%, and Tigres win 34%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 1-4 scoreline reflects a wide-open contest where Tigres had 2 big chances to CF America's 1.