Wigan Athletic ضد Exeter City — League One

**Wigan Athletic 2-0 Exeter City**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (84% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking contrast appeared in the defensive actions, where few tackles were recorded in the match (26 in total, 11th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Exeter City was clearly ahead with 19 to Wigan Athletic's 7 (a +12 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps). At the other end, few shots from distance were recorded in the match (3 in total, 4th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Wigan Athletic was clearly ahead with 3 to Exeter City's 0 (a +3 gap at the 77th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Exeter City looked to bypass the midfield through direct play, completing 33 accurate long balls to Wigan Athletic's 18 (a +15 gap at the 91st percentile of gaps), even though few accurate long balls were completed in the match overall (51 in total, 30th percentile of joint volume). They also showed more patience in their own half, completing 202 passes compared to Wigan Athletic's 119 (a +83 gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps). Wigan Athletic, meanwhile, faced more pressure, recording 30 clearances to Exeter City's 17 (a +13 gap at the 88th percentile of gaps) and 3 blocked shots to 1 (a +2 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps). Both sides were active on the flanks, completing a high volume of accurate crosses (11 in total, 85th percentile of joint volume), with Exeter City making 7 to Wigan Athletic's 4 (a +3 gap at the 81st percentile of gaps). Despite these efforts, few big chances were created by either side (2 in total, 23rd percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Wigan Athletic win 56%, draw 35%, and Exeter City win 9%. The performances pointed to a Wigan Athletic win (56%), and that is what happened, supported by Wigan Athletic creating 2 big chances to Exeter City's 0.