Olympiacos ضد AEK Athens — Greek Super League

**Olympiacos 0-1 AEK Athens**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 51% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by defending (34%), build-up (28%), and attack (21%). Both teams were involved in a massive amount of aerial duels, with 69 won in total at the 99th percentile of joint volume. Defensively, the volume of clearances was also at the 99th percentile of joint volume, with AEK Athens making 58 to Olympiacos' 27, a +31 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Olympiacos sought to control the game through direct play and territorial pressure, making 39 accurate long balls to AEK Athens' 21, a +18 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps. This was supported by Olympiacos making 230 passes in the opponent's half compared to AEK Athens' 95, a +135 gap at the 86th percentile of gaps. However, while Olympiacos was clearly ahead in accurate crosses with 7 to AEK Athens' 0, a gap at the 94th percentile of gaps, the overall number of accurate crosses in the match was low, sitting at the 8th percentile of joint volume. AEK Athens focused on long-range attempts, making 5 shots from distance to Olympiacos' 3, a +2 gap at the 72nd percentile of gaps. Despite the pressure, both sides struggled to find clear-cut scoring opportunities, with only 1 big chance in total, sitting at the 1st percentile of joint volume.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Olympiacos win 14%, draw 45%, and AEK Athens win 41%. The performances leaned towards a draw, but the actual result was far from unlikely. AEK Athens secured the win with 1 big chance to 0 and 1 shot on target to 0.