Barrow ضد Chesterfield — League Two

**Barrow 0-1 Chesterfield**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 75% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by build-up (40%) and duels (24%). The most striking contrast appeared in the set-piece count: few corners were taken in the match (13 in total, 17th percentile of joint volume), yet Chesterfield made 11 more than the other side (Chesterfield 12, Barrow 1), a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. Territorial control also stood out, as few passes were made in the opponent's half overall (229 in total, 10th percentile of joint volume), yet Chesterfield made 67 more than the other side (Chesterfield 148, Barrow 81), a gap at the 79th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Chesterfield maintained a significant presence in the final third, creating 4 more big chances than the other side (Chesterfield 4, Barrow 0), a gap at the 95th percentile of gaps. While few shots on target were recorded in the match (4 in total, 10th percentile of joint volume), Chesterfield was clearly ahead with 3 to Barrow's 1, a gap at the 75th percentile of gaps. The physical battle was defined by the air, where both teams won a lot of aerial duels (52 in total, 89th percentile of joint volume), but Chesterfield won 16 more than the other side (Chesterfield 34, Barrow 18), a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. Barrow focused on winning the ball back by challenging, making 7 more tackles than the other side (Barrow 15, Chesterfield 8), a gap at the 89th percentile of gaps, even though few tackles were made in the match overall (23 in total, 12th percentile). Defensively, both teams were under pressure, recording a lot of clearances (53 in total, 90th percentile of joint volume) and a lot of blocked shots (9 in total, 75th percentile of joint volume), with Barrow making 5 more blocked shots than the other side (Barrow 7, Chesterfield 2), a gap at the 97th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Barrow win 15%, draw 33%, and Chesterfield win 52%. The performances pointed to a Chesterfield win and that is what happened, with the side creating 4 big chances to Barrow's 0.