Atromitos ضد AE Larissa — Greek Super League

**Atromitos 3-2 AE Larissa**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 60% of matches. The primary source of this atypicality was the defensive actions, which accounted for 46% of the unusualness. This was most evident in the clearances: few clearances were made in the match (44 in total, 17th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Atromitos was clearly ahead with 37 to AE Larissa's 7 (+30, 99th percentile of gaps). Furthermore, both teams threw themselves in front of shots with 10 blocks in total (76th percentile of joint volume), yet Atromitos made 8 blocks to AE Larissa's 2 (+6, 98th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Atromitos also showed a greater edge in winning ground duels, recording 34 to AE Larissa's 25 (+9, 85th percentile of gaps) in a game where few ground duels were won overall (59 in total, 20th percentile of joint volume). They also recorded 12 interceptions to AE Larissa's 7 (+5, 86th percentile of gaps) to cut passing lanes. AE Larissa, meanwhile, looked to bypass the midfield and use the flanks, making 25 accurate long balls to Atromitos's 16 (+9, 81st percentile of gaps) and 9 accurate crosses to Atromitos's 2 (+7, 96th percentile of gaps). Despite these differences in build-up, both sides were constantly active in the final third, completing 342 passes in the opponent's half (85th percentile of joint volume). This pressure resulted in a high volume of scoring opportunities, with 7 big chances in total (97th percentile of joint volume). While both sides were dangerous, AE Larissa was more direct with 7 shots on target to Atromitos's 4 (+3, 83rd percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Atromitos win 49%, draw 34%, and AE Larissa win 17%. The performances pointed to an Atromitos win and that is what happened. With 4 big chances for Atromitos and 3 for AE Larissa, the result was deserved.