CRB ضد Juventude — Brasileirão Série B

**CRB 0-1 Juventude**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (73% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily found in the build-up (49%), followed by defending (23%) and attack (21%). Few accurate long balls were in the match, but Juventude was clearly ahead with 33 to CRB's 11 (a +22 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps). Conversely, few passes in the opponent's half were in the match, but CRB was clearly ahead with 226 to Juventude's 85 (a +141 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Both sides were patient in their own territory, completing a high volume of passes in their own half (391 in total, 80th percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them. CRB looked to create direct threats, recording 6 shots on target to Juventude's 2 (a +4 gap at the 86th percentile of gaps) and 8 shots from distance to Juventude's 2 (a +6 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps). Juventude, however, was more active in the air, winning 17 aerial duels to CRB's 9 (a +8 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps). Defensively, Juventude was more active in clearing the ball, making 33 clearances to CRB's 8 (a +25 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps) in a game with few clearances overall (41 in total, 22nd percentile of joint volume). Both teams were under pressure, as evidenced by a high volume of blocked shots (8 in total, 84th percentile of joint volume). While both sides created a high volume of big chances (5 in total, 80th percentile of joint volume), the opportunities were split evenly with 2 for CRB and 3 for Juventude.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are CRB win 26%, draw 44%, and Juventude win 30%. The performances leaned towards a draw, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With 3 big chances for Juventude and 2 for CRB, the narrow margin reflects a closely contested game.