Chapecoense ضد Botafogo — Brasileirão

**Chapecoense 1-4 Botafogo**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 77% of matches, with the atypicality concentrated in the attack (43%) and build-up (31%). The most striking contrast appeared in the final third: few shots inside the box in the match, but Botafogo was clearly ahead (Botafogo 7, Chapecoense 1, 89th percentile of gaps). This was mirrored in the creation of clear-cut scoring opportunities, where few big chances in the match, but Botafogo was clearly ahead (Botafogo 4, Chapecoense 0, 96th percentile of gaps). Furthermore, both teams engaged in a high volume of patient build-up from the back, completing 538 passes in their own half (99th percentile of joint volume), with Botafogo making 40 more than Chapecoense (Botafogo 289, Chapecoense 249, 68th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Botafogo maintained a direct threat on goal throughout, recording 8 shots on target to Chapecoense's 3 (93rd percentile of gaps). While the game saw a high volume of long-range attempts (14 in total, 93rd percentile of joint volume), Chapecoense was slightly more active from distance (Chapecoense 8, Botafogo 6, 69th percentile of gaps). Both sides utilized the flanks and direct routes, recording 11 accurate crosses (88th percentile of joint volume) and 70 accurate long balls (91st percentile of joint volume), with Chapecoense making 6 more accurate long balls than Botafogo (Chapecoense 38, Botafogo 32, 68th percentile of gaps). In defensive actions, few interceptions in the match, but Chapecoense was clearly ahead (Chapecoense 5, Botafogo 3, 70th percentile of gaps). Conversely, few blocked shots (defending) in the match, but Botafogo was clearly ahead (Botafogo 3, Chapecoense 0, 76th percentile of gaps). The physical battle on the ground was minimal, with very little ground duels won from either team (49 in total, 6th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Chapecoense win 13%, draw 19%, and Botafogo win 68%. The performances pointed to a Botafogo win (68%), and that is what happened. This was reflected in the final scoreline, where Botafogo secured 4 big chances to Chapecoense's 0.