WSG Tirol ضد Altach — Austrian Bundesliga

**WSG Tirol 2-2 Altach**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 70% of matches were more unusual than this one. The primary story lies in the high volume of direct threats, as both teams recorded 8 shots on target each, a joint volume of 16 at the 99th percentile. While the attacking output was massive, the unusualness was concentrated in the build-up (30%) and the attack (35%). Both sides were active in the final third, creating 5 big chances in total, which ranks at the 84th percentile of joint volume.

**How it played out:** WSG Tirol took a more direct approach to bypass the midfield, recording 50 accurate long balls to Altach's 30, a +20 gap at the 95th percentile of gaps. This direct play was complemented by a physical presence in the air, where WSG Tirol won 24 aerial duels to Altach's 14, a +10 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. Altach, meanwhile, spent much of the game defending deep and clearing the ball under pressure, recording 34 clearances to WSG Tirol's 13, a +21 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps. WSG Tirol also found more success in the box, recording 12 shots inside the area compared to Altach's 7, a +5 gap at the 76th percentile of gaps. Despite these differences in style, the wide areas were balanced, with both teams recording 5 accurate crosses each. On the ground, the game was less combative, with only 55 duels won between the two sides, a low volume at the 14th percentile.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are WSG Tirol win 33%, draw 40%, and Altach win 27%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 2-2 draw reflects a match where both sides were equally capable of creating a direct threat on goal.