Chivas ضد Puebla — Liga MX

**Chivas 5-0 Puebla**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 58% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by the build-up (49% of the unusualness). The most striking trait was the disparity in set pieces: few corners were in the match (9 in total, 5th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Chivas was clearly ahead with 9 to Puebla's 0, a gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. Furthermore, both teams did a lot of passes in their own half (480 in total, 87th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), yet Chivas made 174 more passes in their own half than the other side (Chivas 327, Puebla 153, 97th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Chivas found more ways to penetrate the final third despite a low-volume game. Few shots on target were in the match (9 in total, 19th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Chivas was clearly ahead with 8 to Puebla's 1, a gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. This was mirrored in the box, where few shots inside the box were in the match (10 in total, 7th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Chivas was clearly ahead with 8 to Puebla's 2, a gap at the 81st percentile of gaps. Chivas also looked for long-range options, making 6 more shots from distance than the other side (Chivas 8, Puebla 2, 93rd percentile of gaps). Puebla, meanwhile, won more aerial duels (Puebla 11, Chivas 5, 83rd percentile of gaps), even though few aerial duels were won overall (16 in total, 7th percentile of joint volume). The game saw little direct play, with few accurate long balls from either team (Chivas 20, Puebla 15, 35 in total, 5th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Chivas win 65%, draw 26%, and Puebla win 9%. The performances pointed to a Chivas win and that is what happened, supported by Chivas creating 8 shots on target to Puebla's 1.