**Strasbourg 0-3 Rennes**
**What set this match apart:**
This match was more unusual than 86% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking phase (32%) and the defensive actions (26%). Rennes dominated the entry into dangerous areas, recording 19 shots inside the box compared to Strasbourg's 4, a +15 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. Furthermore, while there were few shots on target in the match (10 in total, 20th percentile of joint volume), Rennes was clearly ahead with 9 to Strasbourg's 1, a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps.
**How it played out:**
Rennes maintained sustained pressure near the opponent's goal, evidenced by 9 corners to Strasbourg's 2, a +7 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps. Both sides opted for a patient build-up from the back, completing 489 passes in their own half (97th percentile of joint volume), though Strasbourg was more active there with 275 to Rennes's 214, a +61 gap at the 73rd percentile of gaps. Direct play was avoided as both teams recorded very few accurate long balls (39 in total, 11th percentile of joint volume). In terms of individual actions, Strasbourg won more one-on-one battles, recording 16 successful dribbles to Rennes's 7, a +9 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps. Defensively, Rennes was more effective at reading the game, recording 18 interceptions to Strasbourg's 4, a +14 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps, in a match with few interceptions overall (22 in total, 24th percentile of joint volume).
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Strasbourg win 7%, draw 21%, and Rennes win 72%. The performances pointed to a Rennes win and that is what happened, supported by Rennes creating 5 big chances to Strasbourg's 1.
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