Darmstadt ضد Elversberg — 2. Bundesliga

**Darmstadt 3-3 Elversberg**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 81% of matches were more unusual than this one. The most striking contrast was found in the physical duels, where Darmstadt won 45 ground duels to Elversberg's 29, a +16 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. Similarly, while few aerial duels were won in the match (23 in total, 23rd percentile of joint volume), Darmstadt was clearly ahead, winning 15 to Elversberg's 8, a +7 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Darmstadt also took a lead in the defensive actions, making 22 tackles to Elversberg's 8, a +14 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps, despite few tackles occurring in the match overall (30 in total, 21st percentile of joint volume). Darmstadt was also more active in clearing the ball, recording 31 clearances to Elversberg's 22, a +9 gap at the 81st percentile of gaps. Elversberg, meanwhile, found success in one-on-one situations, making 11 successful dribbles to Darmstadt's 5, a +6 gap at the 89th percentile of gaps. Both sides bypassed the midfield with very few accurate long balls (38 in total, 10th percentile of joint volume) and sustained pressure near the goal with 12 corners in total, at the 85th percentile of joint volume. The attacking output was high on both sides, with 15 shots from distance in total (95th percentile of joint volume) and 5 big chances in total (76th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Darmstadt win 36%, draw 29%, and Elversberg win 35%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 3-3 draw follows a match where Elversberg had 3 big chances to Darmstadt's 2.