Thun ضد Lugano — Swiss Super League

**Thun 0-1 Lugano**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (96% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking figures involve the defensive pressure and set-piece activity. Both teams recorded a high volume of clearances, 66 in total (95th percentile of joint volume), with Lugano making 43 to Thun's 23, a +20 gap at the 88th percentile of gaps. Furthermore, the game saw a high volume of corners, 12 in total (85th percentile of joint volume), with Thun making 7 to Lugano's 5, a +2 gap at the 66th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Lugano exerted significant territorial control, completing 167 passes in the opponent's half compared to Thun's 107, a +60 gap at the 77th percentile of gaps. Thun looked to bypass the midfield more directly, recording 31 accurate long balls to Lugano's 21, a +10 gap at the 79th percentile of gaps. In the final third, both sides were active, recording 10 shots on target in total (79th percentile of joint volume), with Lugano making 6 to Thun's 4, a +2 gap at the 75th percentile of gaps. While few shots from distance were taken in the match (7 in total, 26th percentile of joint volume), Thun was clearly ahead with 5 to Lugano's 2, a +3 gap at the 77th percentile of gaps. Lugano also won more aerial duels, 19 to Thun's 13, a +6 gap at the 83rd percentile of gaps. Finally, few successful dribbles were recorded in the match (8 in total, 16th percentile of joint volume), but Lugano was clearly ahead with 5 to Thun's 3, a +2 gap at the 66th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Thun win 14%, draw 30%, and Lugano win 56%. The performances pointed to a Lugano win and that is what happened, supported by Lugano creating 3 big chances to Thun's 1.