Fluminense ضد Chapecoense — Brasileirão

**Fluminense 2-1 Chapecoense**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 87% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by the attacking phase (51%) and build-up (25%). The most striking disparity was in shots inside the box: only 24 were recorded in total (12th percentile of joint volume), yet Fluminense made 20 more than the other side (Fluminense 22, Chapecoense 2), a gap at the 100th percentile. Territorial control also stood out, as Fluminense made 354 more passes in the opponent's half than Chapecoense (Fluminense 436, Chapecoense 82), a gap at the 99th percentile.

**How it played out:** Fluminense maintained a heavy presence in the final third, evidenced by 7 corners to Chapecoense's 1 (few corners in the match, but Fluminense was clearly ahead; 91st percentile of gaps). They also found more clear-cut scoring opportunities, as few big chances occurred in the match, but Fluminense was clearly ahead (Fluminense 2, Chapecoense 0; 71st percentile of gaps). Both sides were active from distance, recording 14 shots from distance in total (93rd percentile of joint volume), with Fluminense making 2 more than Chapecoense (8 to 6; 69th percentile of gaps). Chapecoense focused on defensive positioning, as few interceptions occurred in the match, but Chapecoense was clearly ahead (Chapecoense 9, Fluminense 2; 89th percentile of gaps). The game remained physically contested on the ground, with Fluminense winning 8 more ground duels than Chapecoense (36 to 28; 83rd percentile of gaps). Meanwhile, both teams were successful in one-on-one situations, recording 17 successful dribbles in total (73rd percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them.

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Fluminense win (57%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are Fluminense win 57%, draw 26%, and Chapecoense win 17%. With Fluminense recording 12 shots on target to Chapecoense's 3, the result was deserved.