Osasuna ضد Sevilla — La Liga

**Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 84% of matches were more unusual than this one. The most striking distinction lies in the defensive reading of the game: few interceptions were recorded in the match (8 in total, 2nd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Sevilla was clearly ahead with 6 to Osasuna's 2 (a +4 gap at the 74th percentile of gaps). At the other end, both teams were under significant pressure, recording a massive 64 clearances in total (97th percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them.

**How it played out:** Osasuna found more ways to penetrate the final third, as they were clearly ahead with 11 shots inside the box to Sevilla's 2 (a +9 gap at the 91st percentile of gaps). This translated into a direct threat on goal, with Osasuna recording 7 shots on target compared to just 2 for Sevilla (a +5 gap at the 91st percentile of gaps). To reach these areas, Osasuna utilized the flanks more effectively, making 8 accurate crosses to Sevilla's 2 (a +6 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps). In contrast, Osasuna opted for a more patient build-up from the back, completing 221 passes in their own half compared to Sevilla's 104 (a +117 gap at the 89th percentile of gaps). The physical battle remained intense throughout, with both sides winning a high volume of aerial duels (23 and 22 respectively, 86th percentile of joint volume). Osasuna also excelled in one-on-one situations, recording 10 successful dribbles to Sevilla's 4 (a +6 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Osasuna win (57%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are Osasuna win 57%, draw 28%, and Sevilla win 15%. This result was supported by Osasuna creating 4 big chances to Sevilla's 1.