Servette ضد Winterthur — Swiss Super League

**Servette 5-3 Winterthur**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 70% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking output (36%) and the duels (33%). Servette was clearly ahead in getting into dangerous areas, making 19 shots inside the box compared to Winterthur's 3, a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. This stood in contrast to the overall low volume of shots inside the box in the match, with only 22 recorded in total (29th percentile of joint volume).

**How it played out:** Servette also dominated the one-on-one situations, completing 18 successful dribbles to Winterthur's 6, a +12 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. They were also more physically imposing in the air, winning 22 aerial duels to Winterthur's 12, a +10 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. Winterthur, meanwhile, opted for a more patient and safe build-up from the back, completing 237 passes in their own half to Servette's 164, a +73 gap at the 79th percentile of gaps. They also looked to bypass the midfield more frequently, making 29 accurate long balls to Servette's 21, a +8 gap at the 78th percentile of gaps. Both sides were highly active in winning the ball back by challenging, recording 44 ground duels won each (88 in total, 93rd percentile of joint volume) and 44 tackles in total (95th percentile of joint volume). While few blocked shots (defending) occurred in the match (4 in total, 22nd percentile of joint volume), Winterthur was clearly ahead with 4 to Servette's 0, a +4 gap at the 84th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a Servette win (65%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are Servette win 65%, draw 26%, and Winterthur win 9%. This result was supported by Servette creating 6 big chances to Winterthur's 1.