Tigres ضد Chivas — Liga MX

**Tigres 3-1 Chivas**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 75% of matches were more unusual than this one. The primary distinction lies in the attacking phase, which accounted for 49% of the match's unusualness. Few shots on target were recorded in the match (10 in total, 20th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Tigres was clearly ahead with 9 to Chivas's 1, a gap at the 98th percentile. While both sides were active in the box with 17 shots inside the area (78th percentile of joint volume), the disparity in accuracy on target defined the offensive narrative.

**How it played out:** Tigres maintained a significant territorial advantage, completing 233 passes in the opponent's half compared to Chivas's 136, a +97 gap at the 78th percentile of gaps. This was part of a game where both sides were very active in the opposition's territory (369 in total, 86th percentile of joint volume). Despite this pressure, both teams were patient in their own halves, recording 396 passes there (81st percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them. The build-up was characterized by a lack of direct play, as only 39 accurate long balls were completed (11th percentile of joint volume). On the flanks, both sides were equally active, recording 10 accurate crosses (82nd percentile of joint volume). Chivas won more ground duels, 33 to Tigres's 24, a +9 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps, in a match where few ground duels were won overall (57 in total, 15th percentile). Defensively, both sides were under pressure, recording 47 clearances (81st percentile of joint volume) and 7 blocked shots (81st percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Tigres win 73%, draw 21%, and Chivas win 6%. The performances pointed to a Tigres win and that is what happened. This was supported by the fact that Tigres recorded 9 shots on target while Chivas managed only 1.