Sportivo San Lorenzo ضد Luqueño — Paraguay Division Profesional

**Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-0 Luqueño**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 71% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by the attacking phase (43%) and build-up (25%). The most striking figures come from the lack of long-range attempts, with only 3 shots from distance in total (5th percentile of joint volume), and a high volume of accurate crosses, totaling 14 (97th percentile of joint volume). While both sides were active in the final third, recording 19 shots inside the box (88th percentile of joint volume), the direct threat on goal was uneven. Luqueño was clearly ahead with 4 shots on target to Sportivo San Lorenzo's 0, a gap at the 89th percentile of gaps in a match where only 4 shots on target were recorded in total (5th percentile of joint volume).

**How it played out:** Luqueño exerted sustained pressure near the opponent's goal, evidenced by 8 corners to Sportivo San Lorenzo's 3 (90th percentile of gaps). This pressure forced Sportivo San Lorenzo to defend deep and get the ball away, resulting in 58 clearances in total (90th percentile of joint volume), with Luqueño making 37 to Sportivo San Lorenzo's 21 (82nd percentile of gaps). Sportivo San Lorenzo also threw bodies in front of shots, recording 4 blocked shots to Luqueño's 1 (91st percentile of gaps). The physical battle was split between the ground and the air: Sportivo San Lorenzo was clearly ahead in ground duels, winning 36 to Luqueño's 27 (86th percentile of gaps, in a match with few ground duels won overall, 63 in total), while Luqueño won 23 aerial duels to Sportivo San Lorenzo's 14 (92nd percentile of gaps). Despite the activity, clear-cut scoring opportunities were non-existent for both sides, with 0 big chances recorded in total (9th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Sportivo San Lorenzo win 16%, draw 38%, and Luqueño win 46%. The performances leaned towards a Luqueño win, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With no big chances for either side, the 0-0 draw was a plausible outcome.