Keflavík ضد ÍA Akranes — Besta deild karla

**Keflavík 5-2 ÍA Akranes**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 91% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking output, which accounted for 36% of the atypicality, followed by defending (23%), build-up (22%), and duels (19%). Both teams were involved in a massive amount of blocked shots, with 17 in total at the 99th percentile of joint volume. Furthermore, the build-up was defined by a high volume of corners, with both sides recording 9 each for a total of 18, which ranks at the 99th percentile of joint volume.

**How it played out:** The game was a high-intensity affair where both sides generated a massive amount of direct threat, recording 17 shots on target (99th percentile of joint volume). Keflavík had the edge in this area, making 11 to ÍA Akranes' 6, a gap at the 91st percentile. This pressure translated into a high volume of shots inside the box, with 27 in total (98th percentile of joint volume), and Keflavík again led with 18 to 9 (91st percentile of gaps). Both teams also looked for long-range attempts, recording 17 in total (97th percentile of joint volume), with Keflavík making 11 to 6. While both sides were active on the flanks, recording 14 accurate crosses in total (97th percentile of joint volume), ÍA Akranes was the side defending deeper. They recorded 36 clearances to Keflavík's 27, and they were more active in blocking shots, with 11 to 6 (90th percentile of gaps). In terms of individual actions, few successful dribbles were recorded in the match (6 in total, 3rd percentile of joint volume), but ÍA Akranes was clearly ahead with 5 to 1. Conversely, few aerial duels were won in the match (22 in total, 22nd percentile of joint volume), but Keflavík was clearly ahead with 14 to 8.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Keflavík win 43%, draw 36%, and ÍA Akranes win 21%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 5-2 scoreline follows a game where both sides created 7 big chances in total (98th percentile of joint volume).