Pyunik ضد Debrecen — Conference League Qualification

**Pyunik 0-0 Debrecen**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 55% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking phase (39%) and the build-up (28%). Both teams were highly active in the final third, recording 24 shots inside the box (98th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). While the volume was high, the quality of chances was sparse, with only 1 big chance in the match (29th percentile of the two teams' joint volume).

**How it played out:** Debrecen was more effective in creating clear-cut opportunities, as they recorded 1 big chance compared to Pyunik's 0 (80th percentile of gaps). They also had a slight edge in shots inside the box, with 13 to Pyunik's 11 (71st percentile of gaps). The build-up was defined by direct play and sustained pressure, as both sides produced 65 accurate long balls (82nd percentile of joint volume), with Debrecen making 37 to Pyunik's 28 (81st percentile of gaps). This pressure resulted in a massive volume of corners, with 17 in total (99th percentile of joint volume), and Debrecen took 10 to Pyunik's 7 (79th percentile of gaps). Pyunik looked to bypass the midfield with long-range attempts, recording 7 shots from distance to Debrecen's 3 (84th percentile of gaps). Defensively, Pyunik was under significant pressure, recording 39 clearances to Debrecen's 23 (92nd percentile of gaps), while both sides threw bodies in front of shots with 5 blocks each (95th percentile of joint volume). The game was also physical in the air, with 43 aerial duels won (81st percentile of joint volume), and Pyunik won 26 to Debrecen's 17 (93rd percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Pyunik win 32%, draw 37%, and Debrecen win 31%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 0-0 draw is consistent with a match where Debrecen had 5 shots on target to Pyunik's 4.