**FC Dordrecht 2-1 Jong Ajax**
**What set this match apart:**
A fairly ordinary match with a few distinctive traits (59% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily driven by duels (37% of the unusualness), followed by defending (25%) and attack (24%). Both teams were highly active in the final third, recording 14 shots on target in total, a volume at the 97th percentile of the two teams' joint volume. FC Dordrecht held a slight edge in this area with 8 shots on target to Jong Ajax's 6, a gap at the 69th percentile of gaps.
**How it played out:**
FC Dordrecht exerted sustained pressure near the opponent's goal, recording 8 corners to Jong Ajax's 3, a gap at the 86th percentile of gaps. This pressure was supported by a high volume of accurate crosses, with FC Dordrecht making 8 to Jong Ajax's 3, a gap at the 87th percentile of gaps. They also utilized direct play to bypass the midfield, making 34 accurate long balls to Jong Ajax's 24, a gap at the 79th percentile of gaps. In terms of individual actions, Jong Ajax was more successful in one-on-one situations, making 8 successful dribbles to FC Dordrecht's 4, a gap at the 80th percentile of gaps. Defensively, FC Dordrecht was more active in the challenge; few tackles were made in the match, but FC Dordrecht was clearly ahead with 15 to Jong Ajax's 10, a gap at the 82nd percentile of gaps. Furthermore, few aerial duels were won in the match, but FC Dordrecht was clearly ahead with 11 to Jong Ajax's 2, a gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps.
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are FC Dordrecht win 41%, draw 31%, and Jong Ajax win 28%. The performances pointed to a FC Dordrecht win and that is what happened, with the side recording 8 shots on target to Jong Ajax's 6.
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