**Forge FC 2-0 Pacific FC**
**What set this match apart:**
This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 79% of matches were more unusual than this one. The most striking distinction was found in the aerial duels, where only 10 were won in the match (1st percentile of the two teams' joint volume), yet Forge FC was clearly ahead with 8 to 2 (84th percentile of gaps). Other atypical elements were found in the attacking phase, with only 10 shots inside the box in the match (7th percentile of joint volume), and the build-up, where both teams completed a great many passes in their own half (451 in total, 92nd percentile of joint volume).
**How it played out:**
Forge FC found more success in the final third despite a low-volume game. There were few shots on target in the match, but Forge FC was clearly ahead with 5 to 1 (86th percentile of gaps). This was mirrored in the box, where few shots inside the box in the match occurred, but Forge FC was clearly ahead with 8 to 2 (81st percentile of gaps). Forge FC also won more ground duels than the other side (38 to 29, 86th percentile of gaps) and won more successful dribbles (9 to 2, 93rd percentile of gaps), even though few successful dribbles in the match occurred (11 in total, 11th percentile). Pacific FC was more patient in their own territory, making 258 passes in their own half compared to Forge FC's 193 (77th percentile of gaps). Meanwhile, Forge FC saw more corners (7 to 1, 90th percentile of gaps) and few accurate crosses in the match, but Forge FC was clearly ahead with 3 to 0 (75th percentile of gaps).
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Forge FC win 63%, draw 24%, and Pacific FC win 13%. The performances pointed to a Forge FC win and that is what happened. With Forge FC recording 5 shots on target to Pacific FC's 1, the result was deserved.
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