Cambuur ضد Feyenoord — Eredivisie

**Cambuur 2-5 Feyenoord**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (75% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking contrast appeared in the direct play, where few accurate long balls were recorded in the match (33 in total, 3rd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), yet Cambuur was clearly ahead with 20 to Feyenoord's 13 (+7, 71st percentile of gaps). Conversely, both sides were very patient in their own halves, completing a massive 468 passes in their own territory (95th percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them.

**How it played out:** Feyenoord exerted more territorial control in the final third, making 164 passes in the opponent's half compared to Cambuur's 109 (+55, 76th percentile of gaps). This pressure was reflected in the defensive actions, as both teams threw bodies in front of shots with 3 blocks each (6 in total, 73rd percentile of joint volume). In physical duels, Feyenoord won 42 ground duels to Cambuur's 33 (+9, 85th percentile of gaps), while few aerial duels were won in the match (21 in total, 18th percentile of joint volume), but Cambuur was clearly ahead with 14 to Feyenoord's 7 (+7, 88th percentile of gaps). Cambuur also found more success in one-on-one situations, recording 13 successful dribbles to Feyenoord's 9 (+4, 81st percentile of gaps) in a game with a high volume of such actions (22 in total, 90th percentile of joint volume). Despite these varied dynamics, Feyenoord was more productive in front of goal, recording 7 shots on target to Cambuur's 4 (+3, 83rd percentile of gaps) and 6 big chances to the other side's 2 (+4, 93rd percentile of gaps). While few shots from distance were taken in the match (7 in total, 26th percentile of joint volume), Feyenoord was clearly ahead with 5 to Cambuur's 2 (+3, 80th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Cambuur win 21%, draw 26%, and Feyenoord win 53%. The performances pointed to a Feyenoord win and that is what happened, supported by their 6 big chances compared to Cambuur's 2.