Delfín ضد Aucas — Ecuadorian Serie A

**Delfín 0-1 Aucas**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 56% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by defending (39%) and build-up (30%). The most striking contrast appeared in direct play: there were few accurate long balls in the match, but Aucas was clearly ahead with 20 to Delfín's 13, a +7 gap at the 76th percentile of gaps. Conversely, the defensive workload was heavily skewed; Aucas made 43 clearances to Delfín's 11, a +32 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Delfín showed a preference for patient build-up from the back, completing 175 passes in their own half compared to 112 by Aucas, a moderate gap at the 74th percentile of gaps. While the game saw few shots inside the box overall, Delfín was clearly ahead with 8 to Aucas's 3, a 76th percentile gap. Despite this, the direct threat on goal remained minimal, with only 2 shots on target in the match (Delfín 1, Aucas 1), placing the joint volume in the 6th percentile. Delfín also found more ways to pressure the final third, recording 6 corners to Aucas's 0, a 90th percentile gap. On the defensive side, Delfín was more active in cutting passing lanes, recording 15 interceptions to Aucas's 7, a 95th percentile gap. The match was also highly combative on the ground, with 86 ground duels won in total, a high volume at the 89th percentile, where Aucas held a +10 edge. Aucas also managed more successful dribbles, 8 to Delfín's 4, a 80th percentile gap.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Delfín win 22%, draw 35%, and Aucas win 43%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 0-1 scoreline reflects a wide-open contest where both sides had 1 big chance.