FH Hafnarfjörður ضد Keflavík — Besta deild karla

**FH Hafnarfjörður 2-1 Keflavík**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 77% of matches were more unusual than this one. The primary distinction lies in the attacking output, which accounted for 45% of the match's unusualness. Few shots inside the box were recorded in the match (17 in total, 25th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), yet FH Hafnarfjörður was clearly ahead with 14 to Keflavík's 3, a gap at the 95th percentile. Furthermore, while few shots on target were recorded in the match (8 in total, 18th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), FH Hafnarfjörður was clearly ahead with 7 to Keflavík's 1, a gap at the 94th percentile.

**How it played out:** FH Hafnarfjörður dominated the creation of clear-cut scoring opportunities, recording 6 big chances to Keflavík's 0, a gap at the 98th percentile. Both sides were active on the flanks, completing a high volume of accurate crosses (9 in total, 75th percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them. The game was also highly physical and combative, with both teams recording a high volume of tackles (42 in total, 93rd percentile of joint volume) and ground duels won (83 in total, 84th percentile of joint volume). Keflavík won the physical battle in the air, taking 18 aerial duels to FH Hafnarfjörður's 9, a gap at the 92nd percentile, and also won more ground duels (47 to 36, 89th percentile of gaps). Despite this, Keflavík also won more successful dribbles (13 to 8, 85th percentile of gaps). Both sides faced significant pressure, evidenced by a high volume of clearances (51 in total, 86th percentile of joint volume), while both teams also took a high volume of shots from distance (13 in total, 91st percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them.

**Verdict:** The performances pointed to a FH Hafnarfjörður win (76%), and that is what happened. The fair probabilities are FH Hafnarfjörður win 76%, draw 22%, and Keflavík win 2%. The result was deserved, as FH Hafnarfjörður recorded 6 big chances to Keflavík's 0.