Ried ضد Wolfsberger AC — Austrian Bundesliga

**Ried 4-1 Wolfsberger AC**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 97% of matches in the database, with the atypicality primarily driven by the attacking phase (42%) and build-up (30%). The most striking feature was the sheer volume of entries into the box, as both teams recorded 17 shots each, a joint volume of 34 at the 99th percentile. While both sides were prolific in finding space, Ried was more effective at creating clear-cut scoring opportunities, recording 9 big chances to Wolfsberger AC's 3, a gap at the 96th percentile.

**How it played out:** Ried maintained a more direct threat on goal, recording 11 shots on target compared to 5 for Wolfsberger AC, a gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. Wolfsberger AC looked to find space from distance, recording 9 shots from distance to Ried's 3, a gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. In the build-up, Wolfsberger AC was clearly ahead in wide areas, recording 10 accurate crosses to Ried's 2, a gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. There were few corners in the match, but Wolfsberger AC was clearly ahead with 9 to Ried's 0, a gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. Defensively, Wolfsberger AC was more active in reading the game, recording 17 interceptions to Ried's 5, a gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. There were few tackles in the match, but Wolfsberger AC was clearly ahead with 16 to Ried's 10, a gap at the 80th percentile of gaps. Ried, meanwhile, was under more pressure, recording 6 blocked shots to Wolfsberger AC's 1, a gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. Both sides were successful in one-on-one situations, recording 23 successful dribbles in total, a joint volume at the 93rd percentile, with Wolfsberger AC ahead 13 to 10.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Ried win 79%, draw 19%, and Wolfsberger AC win 2%. The performances pointed to a Ried win and that is what happened, supported by Ried creating 9 big chances to Wolfsberger AC's 3.