Deportivo Cuenca ضد Técnico Universitario — Ecuadorian Serie A

**Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Técnico Universitario**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 59% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by defending (38%), build-up (31%), and attack (30%). A defining characteristic was the high volume of long-range attempts, with both teams recording 22 shots from distance (99th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), and Técnico Universitario making 12 to Deportivo Cuenca's 10 (72nd percentile of gaps). Despite this volume, there were few big chances in the match, but Deportivo Cuenca was clearly ahead with 1 to Técnico Universitario's 0 (66th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Both sides maintained a high volume of direct threats, recording 11 shots on target (87th percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them. The game saw a massive amount of activity near the goal, evidenced by 63 clearances (95th percentile of joint volume) and 10 blocked shots (89th percentile of joint volume), with Deportivo Cuenca making 7 blocks to Técnico Universitario's 3 (94th percentile of gaps). In the build-up, both teams utilized the flanks effectively, recording 14 accurate crosses (97th percentile of joint volume), with Deportivo Cuenca making 8 to Técnico Universitario's 6 (66th percentile of gaps). This pressure also resulted in 17 corners (95th percentile of joint volume), where Deportivo Cuenca made 12 to Técnico Universitario's 5 (94th percentile of gaps). Defensively, there were few interceptions in the match, but Técnico Universitario was clearly ahead with 8 to Deportivo Cuenca's 2 (85th percentile of gaps). Conversely, there were few tackles in the match, but Deportivo Cuenca was clearly ahead with 15 to Técnico Universitario's 11 (77th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Deportivo Cuenca win 35%, draw 41%, and Técnico Universitario win 24%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 2-1 scoreline reflects a wide-open contest where Deportivo Cuenca held a slight edge in big chances.