Chicó FC ضد Atlético Nacional — Colombian Primera A

**Chicó FC 1-4 Atlético Nacional**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 87% of matches were more unusual than this one. The primary source of atypicality was found in the build-up (42% of the unusualness) and the duels (38% of the unusualness). Atlético Nacional demonstrated a patient approach from the back, completing 288 passes in their own half compared to Chicó FC's 114, a +174 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. Conversely, the physical nature of the game was defined by a lack of aerial success, with only 8 aerial duels won between the two sides (1st percentile of the two teams' joint volume).

**How it played out:** Atlético Nacional faced significant pressure, as evidenced by them making 21 clearances to Chicó FC's 9, a +12 gap at the 74th percentile of gaps, in a match with few clearances overall (20th percentile of joint volume). While both sides were active in the final third, they struggled to create clear-cut scoring opportunities, recording only 2 big chances in total (26th percentile of the two teams' joint volume). Despite this, the direct threat on goal remained constant, with 9 shots on target recorded (73rd percentile of joint volume). Chicó FC found more success on the flanks, as they made 3 accurate crosses to Atlético Nacional's 0, a +3 gap at the 75th percentile of gaps, even though few accurate crosses occurred in the match overall (8th percentile of joint volume). Chicó FC also had a slight edge in beating opponents one-on-one, with 4 successful dribbles to Atlético Nacional's 2, a +2 gap at the 68th percentile of gaps, in a game with few successful dribbles overall (7th percentile of joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Chicó FC win 19%, draw 34%, and Atlético Nacional win 47%. The performances pointed to an Atlético Nacional win and that is what happened. This result was supported by the fact that Atlético Nacional had 5 shots on target to Chicó FC's 4.