**FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-2 Yverdon**
**What set this match apart:**
This match was more unusual than 57% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking phase, which accounted for 59% of the atypicality. While there were few shots inside the box in the match (21 in total, 29th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy was clearly ahead with 18 to Yverdon's 3 (99th percentile of gaps). Similarly, few shots from distance were recorded (9 in total, 14th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy was clearly ahead with 8 to Yverdon's 1 (95th percentile of gaps).
**How it played out:**
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy also controlled more of the territory, making 291 passes in the opponent's half compared to Yverdon's 64 (227 more, 96th percentile of gaps), even though the joint volume of such passes was low (355 in total, 10th percentile). Both sides bypassed the midfield with few accurate long balls (19 each, 11th percentile of joint volume). In the defensive phase, Yverdon was under significant pressure, making 42 clearances to FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's 9 (33 more, 98th percentile of gaps). Yverdon also read the game well with 18 interceptions to 9 (94th percentile of gaps) and won 20 tackles to 13 (84th percentile of gaps). The match remained highly physical on the ground and in the air, with both teams recording high volumes of won duels (75 ground duels and 37 aerial duels, at the 70th and 73rd percentiles of joint volume respectively).
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win 32%, draw 29%, and Yverdon win 39%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 3-2 scoreline reflects a wide-open contest where FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy created 7 big chances to Yverdon's 3.
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