**Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV**
**What set this match apart:**
This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 81% of matches were more unusual than this one. The primary distinction lies in the defensive actions, which account for 40% of the unusualness, followed by the attacking output at 31%. Despite this, the game was defined by a massive disparity in accuracy on goal. Eintracht Frankfurt made 10 shots on target compared to Hamburger SV's 3, a +7 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps.
**How it played out:**
Both sides were constantly active in the final third, recording 19 shots inside the box (85th percentile of joint volume) and 12 corners (87th percentile of joint volume). Eintracht Frankfurt took advantage of this pressure to create 3 big chances to Hamburger SV's 2, while also recording 9 successful dribbles to 5 (+4, 81st percentile of gaps). Hamburger SV attempted to bypass the midfield with a direct approach, recording 39 accurate long balls to Eintracht Frankfurt's 23, a +16 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps. Defensively, Hamburger SV was much more active in winning the ball back, making 29 tackles to Eintracht Frankfurt's 20 (+9, 90th percentile of gaps) and 13 interceptions to 8 (+5, 80th percentile of gaps). Eintracht Frankfurt, meanwhile, faced more pressure, recording 3 blocked shots to Hamburger SV's 1 (+2, 85th percentile of gaps) and 29 clearances to 26.
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Eintracht Frankfurt win 54%, draw 32%, and Hamburger SV win 14%. The performances pointed to a Eintracht Frankfurt win and that is what happened. This was supported by the fact that Eintracht Frankfurt recorded 10 shots on target to Hamburger SV's 3.
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