FC Voluntari ضد FCV Farul Constanța — Romanian Liga I

**FC Voluntari 1-2 FCV Farul Constanța**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 71% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by duels (33%), attack (33%), and defending (22%). The most striking disparity came from long-range attempts, where FC Voluntari made 13 shots from distance compared to just 2 from FCV Farul Constanța, a +11 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. Furthermore, while there were few shots inside the box overall (17 in total, 11th percentile of joint volume), FC Voluntari was clearly ahead with 15 to 2, a gap at the 98th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** FC Voluntari exerted sustained pressure near the opponent's goal, evidenced by 11 corners to FCV Farul Constanța's 2, a +9 gap at the 97th percentile of gaps. They also found more clear-cut scoring opportunities, creating 5 big chances to 1, a +4 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps. In terms of wide play, few accurate crosses were recorded in the match (10 in total, 24th percentile of joint volume), but FC Voluntari was clearly ahead with 9 to 1, a +8 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps. FCV Farul Constanța spent much of the game defending deep and getting the ball away under pressure, recording 44 clearances to FC Voluntari's 19, a +25 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps. The physical battle was intense with 39 tackles in total (86th percentile of joint volume), while few aerial duels were won in the match (16 in total, 3rd percentile of joint volume), but FC Voluntari was clearly ahead with 13 to 3, a +10 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps. FC Voluntari also had a +5 edge in successful dribbles (11 to 6), which ranks at the 86th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are FC Voluntari win 45%, draw 34%, and FCV Farul Constanța win 21%. Against the run of play, the performances pointed to a FC Voluntari win (45%), while the actual result had only 21%. With FC Voluntari creating 5 big chances to 1, the outcome was a significant upset.