Jong Ajax ضد Vitesse — Eerste Divisie

**Jong Ajax 1-1 Vitesse**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 85% of matches, with the atypicality primarily rooted in defending (46% of the unusualness). The most striking figures come from the defensive actions: few interceptions were recorded in the match (16 in total, 4th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Jong Ajax was clearly ahead with 14 to Vitesse's 2 (a +12 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps). Similarly, few blocked shots (defending) occurred in the match (6 in total, 21st percentile of joint volume), but Jong Ajax was clearly ahead with 6 to Vitesse's 0 (a +6 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Both sides were active in the final third, completing a high volume of passes in the opponent's half (334 in total, 82nd percentile of joint volume) with no real difference between them. Jong Ajax looked to bypass the midfield more frequently, as few accurate long balls were recorded in the match (41 in total, 3rd percentile of joint volume), but Jong Ajax was clearly ahead with 30 to Vitesse's 11 (a +19 gap at the 94th percentile of gaps). Vitesse took more shots from distance, recording 6 to Jong Ajax's 1 (a +5 gap at the 91st percentile of gaps), even though few shots from distance were taken overall (7 in total, 12th percentile of joint volume). Jong Ajax found more clear-cut opportunities, creating 3 big chances to Vitesse's 0 (a +3 gap at the 76th percentile of gaps). On the ground, Vitesse won 42 ground duels to Jong Ajax's 32 (a +10 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps), while Jong Ajax was more successful in one-on-one situations, recording 12 successful dribbles to Vitesse's 6 (a +6 gap at the 90th percentile of gaps). Both teams faced significant pressure, evidenced by a high volume of clearances (52 in total, 82nd percentile of joint volume), with Jong Ajax making 33 to Vitesse's 19 (a +14 gap at the 89th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Jong Ajax win 61%, draw 25%, and Vitesse win 14%. The performances leaned towards a Jong Ajax win, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With 3 big chances for Jong Ajax and 3 shots on target for each side, the 1-1 draw was a plausible outcome.