Los Angeles FC ضد Minnesota United — MLS

**Los Angeles FC 1-3 Minnesota United**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (75% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking deviation occurred in the attacking output, where Los Angeles FC recorded 13 shots from distance to Minnesota United's 3, a gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. Build-up also contributed significantly to the match's profile, with both sides recording a massive joint volume of 447 passes in the opponent's half (99th percentile of joint volume). Within that volume, Los Angeles FC held a 67-pass edge over Minnesota United (257 to 190, 70th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** Los Angeles FC maintained a constant presence in the final third, evidenced by 7 shots on target to Minnesota United's 3 (86th percentile of gaps). This pressure was reflected in the set-piece data; while there were few corners in the match, Los Angeles FC was clearly ahead with 8 to 1 (94th percentile of gaps). Similarly, there were few accurate crosses in the match, but Los Angeles FC was clearly ahead with 3 to 0 (74th percentile of gaps). Both sides bypassed the midfield frequently, completing 61 accurate long balls in total (72nd percentile of joint volume), with Los Angeles FC making 11 more than Minnesota United (36 to 25, 82nd percentile of gaps). Minnesota United found success in one-on-one situations, recording 9 successful dribbles to Los Angeles FC's 5 (80th percentile of gaps). The game remained physically contested on the ground with 81 joint ground duels won (84th percentile of joint volume), while few blocked shots (defending) occurred in the match, but Minnesota United was clearly ahead with 8 to 0 (98th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Los Angeles FC win 32%, draw 47%, and Minnesota United win 21%. The performances pointed to a draw, and the actual result had only a 21% probability. Despite Los Angeles FC having 7 shots on target to Minnesota United's 3, the 1-3 scoreline was the least likely outcome.