**Mladost Lučani 0-1 FK Radnik Surdulica**
**What set this match apart:**
This match was more unusual than 71% of matches, with the atypicality concentrated in defending (31%), build-up (27%), and attack (24%). The primary contrast lies in the distribution of long-range attempts: few shots from distance in the match, but FK Radnik Surdulica was clearly ahead (10 to 1, a 99th percentile gap). Furthermore, while few big chances in the match occurred (1 in total, 12th percentile of joint volume), FK Radnik Surdulica was clearly ahead (1 to 0, a 67th percentile gap).
**How it played out:**
FK Radnik Surdulica utilized a direct approach, completing 35 accurate long balls to Mladost Lučani's 19 (a 93rd percentile gap). They also maintained significant territorial control, recording 248 passes in the opponent's half compared to 116 for Mladost Lučani (a 91st percentile gap), while both sides were active in the final third with 364 joint passes in that area (74th percentile of joint volume). In contrast, both teams were equally patient in their own halves, completing 423 passes between them (88th percentile of joint volume). Mladost Lučani faced heavy pressure, evidenced by their 33 clearances to FK Radnik Surdulica's 27 (a 75th percentile gap) and 14 interceptions to 9 (an 87th percentile gap). FK Radnik Surdulica also won more ground duels (23 to 15, an 82nd percentile gap) and recorded 6 corners to Mladost Lučani's 2 (an 85th percentile gap). Despite the low volume of tackles (18 in total, 2nd percentile of joint volume), FK Radnik Surdulica was clearly ahead (13 to 5, an 87th percentile gap).
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Mladost Lučani win 24%, draw 49%, and FK Radnik Surdulica win 27%. The performances leaned towards a draw, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With FK Radnik Surdulica securing 2 shots on target to Mladost Lučani's 1, the narrow victory was a plausible outcome.
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