Bucaramanga ضد Atlético Nacional — Colombian Primera A

**Bucaramanga 1-1 Atlético Nacional**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 73% of matches were more unusual than this one. The primary focus of the game was the volume of activity in the final third, as both teams recorded 21 shots inside the box (Bucaramanga 11, Atlético Nacional 10), a figure at the 93rd percentile of their joint volume. While the pressure was high, the direct threat was relatively balanced, with 11 shots on target in total (83rd percentile of joint volume).

**How it played out:** Atlético Nacional faced significant pressure, evidenced by their 36 clearances to Bucaramanga's 11, a +25 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps. They managed to win the ball back through physical challenges, recording 17 tackles to Bucaramanga's 11, a +6 gap at the 80th percentile of gaps. Bucaramanga, meanwhile, was more active in cutting passing lanes with 13 interceptions to Atlético Nacional's 6, a +7 gap at the 93rd percentile of gaps, and they threw more bodies in front of shots with 3 blocks to 1, a +2 gap at the 85th percentile of gaps. Both sides bypassed the midfield frequently, completing 68 accurate long balls in total (89th percentile of joint volume). In terms of wide play, there were few accurate crosses in the match, but Bucaramanga was clearly ahead with 6 to Atlético Nacional's 1, a +5 gap at the 87th percentile of gaps. This pressure resulted in Bucaramanga earning 7 corners to Atlético Nacional's 2, a +5 gap at the 86th percentile of gaps. There were few aerial duels won in the match, but Bucaramanga was clearly ahead with 11 to Atlético Nacional's 8, a +3 gap at the 70th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Bucaramanga win 12%, draw 29% and Atlético Nacional win 59%. The performances leaned towards an Atlético Nacional win, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With 3 big chances each, the 1-1 draw was a plausible outcome.