Saarbrücken vs VfL Osnabrück — 3. Liga

**Saarbrücken 0-1 VfL Osnabrück**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 54% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by the attacking phase (49%) and the build-up (29%). Saarbrücken dominated the flanks, recording 13 accurate crosses to VfL Osnabrück's 3, a +10 gap at the 99th percentile of gaps. In contrast, VfL Osnabrück was much more active in blocking threats, recording 10 blocked shots to Saarbrücken's 2, a +8 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps.

**How it played out:** Saarbrücken focused heavily on getting into dangerous areas, recording 19 shots inside the box compared to just 6 for VfL Osnabrück, a +13 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps. This pressure resulted in 10 corners for Saarbrücken and 5 for VfL Osnabrück, with 15 corners in total at the 93rd percentile of joint volume. Saarbrücken also found more clear-cut scoring opportunities, creating 3 big chances to VfL Osnabrück's 0, a +3 gap at the 92nd percentile of gaps. While Saarbrücken also took 6 shots from distance to 2, VfL Osnabrück was more effective in the direct threat, recording 4 shots on target to Saarbrücken's 2, a +2 gap at the 75th percentile of gaps. The game was physically contested in the air, with both sides winning 24 and 25 aerial duels respectively, totaling 49 won duels at the 91st percentile of joint volume. VfL Osnabrück also spent more time defending deep, recording 36 clearances to Saarbrücken's 27, a +9 gap at the 67th percentile of gaps. Finally, while few accurate long balls were recorded in the match (36 in total, 5th percentile of joint volume), Saarbrücken was clearly ahead with 21 to VfL Osnabrück's 15, a +6 gap at the 68th percentile of gaps.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Saarbrücken win 23%, draw 33%, and VfL Osnabrück win 44%. The performances pointed to a VfL Osnabrück win and that is what happened. Despite Saarbrücken creating 3 big chances to VfL Osnabrück's 0, the result was deserved.