Śląsk Wrocław vs Raków Częstochowa — Ekstraklasa

**Śląsk Wrocław 2-1 Raków Częstochowa**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 77% of matches, with the atypicality primarily driven by the attacking phase (44%) and build-up (35%). The most striking feature was the sheer volume of clear-cut scoring opportunities, with both teams creating 9 big chances in total, a figure at the 96th percentile of their joint volume. Raków Częstochowa held a significant edge in this area, creating 6 big chances compared to Śląsk Wrocław's 3, a gap at the 97th percentile. Furthermore, both sides were extremely active in the final third, completing 436 passes in the opponent's half, which ranks at the 99th percentile of joint volume.

**How it played out:** The game was a physical battle in the air, with 37 aerial duels won in total (70th percentile of joint volume), and Raków Częstochowa won 22 to Śląsk Wrocław's 15, a gap at the 87th percentile. Defensively, both sides were under constant pressure, evidenced by 55 clearances in total (91st percentile of joint volume) and 8 blocked shots (84th percentile of joint volume). Śląsk Wrocław was slightly more active in blocking, with 5 to Raków Częstochowa's 3, a gap at the 85th percentile. While both teams utilized the flanks with 12 accurate crosses in total (93rd percentile of joint volume), Śląsk Wrocław preferred a more direct approach, recording 30 accurate long balls to Raków Częstochowa's 19, a gap at the 81st percentile. In their own half, few passes were completed in the match overall (27th percentile of joint volume), but Raków Częstochowa was clearly ahead with 171 to Śląsk Wrocław's 105, a gap at the 77th percentile.

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Śląsk Wrocław win 32%, draw 34%, and Raków Częstochowa win 34%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. Despite Raków Częstochowa creating 6 big chances to Śląsk Wrocław's 3, the 2-1 result remains a balanced conclusion to a wide-open contest.