CD Mirandes contre Eibar — LaLiga 2

**CD Mirandes 0-1 Eibar**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 83% of matches were more unusual than this one. The most striking contrast appeared in long-range attempts, where few shots from distance were recorded in the match (14 in total, 16th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), yet CD Mirandes was clearly ahead with 13 to Eibar's 1 (100th percentile of gaps). Furthermore, while few accurate long balls were made in the match (44 in total, 21st percentile of the two teams' joint volume), CD Mirandes was clearly ahead with 25 to Eibar's 19 (68th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** The game was defined by a physical battle in the air, with both teams winning a lot of aerial duels (43 in total, 77th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Eibar won 28 to CD Mirandes' 15 (98th percentile of gaps). Eibar also faced significant pressure, recording 43 clearances to CD Mirandes' 21 (91st percentile of gaps) and 5 more blocked shots than the other side (Eibar 7, CD Mirandes 2, 90th percentile of gaps). CD Mirandes looked to break lines individually, making 13 successful dribbles to Eibar's 4 (96th percentile of gaps). Both sides were active down the flanks, completing a lot of accurate crosses (CD Mirandes 4, Eibar 5; 9 in total, 75th percentile of the two teams' joint volume).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are CD Mirandes win 17%, draw 42%, and Eibar win 41%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 0-1 scoreline reflects a wide open match where both sides recorded 2 shots on target and 1 big chance each.