Londrina contre Avaí — Brasileirão Série B

**Londrina 3-2 Avaí**

**What set this match apart:** This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (63% of matches were more unusual than this one). The most striking figures come from the build-up and defending, where both teams recorded a massive volume of corners, totaling 16 (97th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with Londrina making 10 to Avaí's 6 (81st percentile of gaps). Defensively, the pressure was constant as both sides produced a high volume of clearances, totaling 70 (98th percentile of joint volume), with Londrina recording 32 and Avaí 38.

**How it played out:** Londrina was more effective at penetrating the final third, recording 15 shots inside the box compared to Avaí's 5 (94th percentile of gaps). They also took a lead in direct play; while there were few accurate long balls in the match (50 in total, 22nd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), Londrina was clearly ahead with 34 to Avaí's 16 (93rd percentile of gaps). On the flanks, Londrina also had a lead in accurate crosses, making 9 to Avaí's 4 (87th percentile of gaps). Avaí, meanwhile, focused on reading the game and blocking paths, as they were clearly ahead in interceptions with 9 to Londrina's 4 (80th percentile of gaps, in a match with few interceptions overall, 13 in total) and were clearly ahead in blocked shots with 4 to Londrina's 0 (84th percentile of gaps, in a match with few blocked shots (defending) overall, 4 in total). The physical battle was won by Londrina, who won 46 ground duels to Avaí's 34 (92nd percentile of gaps) and recorded 23 tackles to Avaí's 12 (96th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are Londrina win 48%, draw 37%, and Avaí win 15%. The performances pointed to a Londrina win (48%), and that is what happened. This was supported by Londrina creating 4 big chances to Avaí's 1.