**Baniyas 0-1 Hatta**
**What set this match apart:**
This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart (94% of matches were more unusual than this one). The unusualness was primarily concentrated in the attacking phase, which accounted for 53% of the atypicality. Both teams did a lot of shots inside the box (25 in total, 84th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), but Baniyas made 13 more shots inside the box than the other side (Baniyas 19, Hatta 6, 98th percentile of gaps). This was complemented by a high volume of corners (13 in total, 82nd percentile of joint volume), with Baniyas making 5 more than Hatta (Baniyas 9, Hatta 4, 86th percentile of gaps).
**How it played out:**
Baniyas looked to penetrate the area through various means, making 6 more shots from distance than the other side (Baniyas 8, Hatta 2, 93rd percentile of gaps). While few accurate crosses were recorded in the match, Baniyas was clearly ahead with 7 to Hatta's 1 (91st percentile of gaps). Hatta, meanwhile, opted for a more patient approach, making 55 more passes in their own half than Baniyas (Hatta 180, Baniyas 125, 74th percentile of gaps). Defensively, Hatta threw bodies in front of shots, making 7 more blocked shots than Baniyas (Hatta 9, Baniyas 2, 97th percentile of gaps). In terms of physical contests, few ground duels were won in the match, but Hatta was clearly ahead with 32 to Baniyas's 28 (67th percentile of gaps). There were also few tackles in the match, but Baniyas was clearly ahead with 12 to Hatta's 10 (67th percentile of gaps).
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Baniyas win 39%, draw 40%, and Hatta win 21%. With the probabilities so close, every outcome was plausible and no result would have been scandalous. The 0-1 scoreline reflects a wide-open game where Baniyas had 5 shots on target to Hatta's 3.
This analysis is generated by an internally developed model and may contain inaccuracies · Experimental
