**Saudi Arabia 0-0 Qatar**
**What set this match apart:**
This was a very typical match: only small details set it apart; 79% of matches were more unusual than this one. The lack of clear-cut scoring opportunities defined the game, with 0 big chances for either side, a joint volume in the 3rd percentile. This was mirrored by a lack of penetration into dangerous areas, as only 6 shots inside the box were recorded in total, placing the match in the 5th percentile of joint volume. While the overall threat was low, Saudi Arabia was clearly ahead with 5 shots on target to Qatar's 0, a gap at the 79th percentile.
**How it played out:**
The territorial battle was defined by high volume in the attacking zones, with 488 passes in the opponent's half, a figure at the 85th percentile of joint volume. Saudi Arabia was the primary driver of this pressure, completing 378 of those passes compared to Qatar's 110, a gap at the 89th percentile. This sustained pressure near the goal resulted in Saudi Arabia earning 9 corners to Qatar's 2, a gap at the 88th percentile. In contrast, Qatar opted for a more patient build-up from the back, completing 208 passes in their own half to Saudi Arabia's 142, a gap at the 80th percentile. Defensively, Qatar was more active in winning the ball back, recording 19 tackles to Saudi Arabia's 8, a gap at the 95th percentile, and 12 interceptions to 5, a gap at the 88th percentile. On the ground, Qatar also won more duels, taking 32 to Saudi Arabia's 24, a gap at the 81st percentile, while Saudi Arabia won more aerial duels, taking 13 to Qatar's 7, a gap at the 79th percentile.
**Verdict:**
The fair probabilities are Saudi Arabia win 48%, draw 40%, and Qatar win 12%. The performances leaned towards a Saudi Arabia win, but the actual result was far from unlikely. With 0 big chances for either side, the stalemate was a plausible outcome.
This analysis is generated by an internally developed model and may contain inaccuracies · Experimental
