FC Midtjylland vs Genk — Europa League

**FC Midtjylland 1-0 Genk**

**What set this match apart:** This match was more unusual than 56% of matches. The unusualness was primarily driven by duels (41% of the unusualness) and defending (38% of the unusualness). Both teams were involved in a massive amount of clearances, totaling 85 (99th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with FC Midtjylland making 52 to Genk's 33 (a +19 gap at the 95th percentile of gaps). Furthermore, the game was defined by a high volume of aerial duels won, with 50 in total (88th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), and FC Midtjylland winning 32 to Genk's 18 (a +14 gap at the 98th percentile of gaps).

**How it played out:** The physical nature of the contest was evident in the ground duels, where 96 were won (97th percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with FC Midtjylland winning 53 to Genk's 43 (an +10 gap at the 88th percentile of gaps). FC Midtjylland also won more tackles, 23 to 19 (a +4 gap at the 77th percentile of gaps), and were more successful in one-on-one situations, recording 16 successful dribbles to Genk's 7 (a +9 gap at the 96th percentile of gaps). While Genk spent more time in the opponent's half with 169 passes compared to FC Midtjylland's 108 (a +61 gap at the 77th percentile of gaps), there were few accurate crosses in the match, but FC Midtjylland was clearly ahead with 4 to Genk's 1 (a +3 gap at the 75th percentile of gaps). Despite the territorial control from Genk, both teams created a high volume of direct threats, recording 11 shots on target in total (83rd percentile of the two teams' joint volume), with FC Midtjylland making 7 to Genk's 4 (a +3 gap at the 79th percentile of gaps).

**Verdict:** The fair probabilities are FC Midtjylland win 58%, draw 26%, and Genk win 16%. The performances pointed to a FC Midtjylland win and that is what happened, supported by their 7 shots on target to Genk's 4.